Velominati Super Prestige: Amstel Gold Race
Holland. Not known as a hilly country, this. I have relatives who live “at elevation” near the Kinderdijk, where I took this photo. They live at 3m above sea level. Right. Known more for wind than we are for hills, then. In fact, one of the many (many) interesting things about the Netherlands is that while most countries use windmills to grind grain, the Dutch use theirs to pump sea water out of what we call polders.
It’s a good thing I wasn’t involved in the planning of the dijk system back in the 11th Century when it was originally designed, because I would have completely overlooked the fact that once you build the dikes and pump the seawater out, it seeps right back in, the little bugger. It turns out that you need a mechanism to keep pumping the water out and back into the sea. Not so easy when you’re pumping the water from several meters below sea level, so the Dutch designed an ingenious system of tiered channels wherein the windmills power a water wheel that scoops water from a lower channel into a channel approximately 1 meter higher. Add more channels until you’re high enough to get it back out into the ocean. Then you sit back, pour yourself a luke-warm Pils, and let the ferocious wind do something more practical than turning cyclist into wind veins.
A fact often overlooked when painting the Netherlands with the “flat as a pancake” brush is our little provence of Limburg. The monkey’s tail of the country, it dips down into the south towards Belgium and into the fabled cycling hills of the Ardennes. The Ardenne are fascinating from a geological standpoint, of which I know almost nothing. When you stand at the top of these hills, the landscape looks almost like you’re standing on a plain. But between you and your neighbor a kilometer away lies a deep valley with short, brutally steep slopes. It seems as though these hills were originally a flat plain until heaps of water washed away all the softer bits and left the Ardennes behind. Between you, me, and the seatpost, this is about the best cycling country you can find in the world. But maybe someone else is onto this secret already. In fact, maybe that’s why they have so many great bike races here.
The Amstel Gold Race is the gateway drug into a three week massacre on the hills of the Ardennes. Amstel is the youngest of the classics, but by no means the easiest. This race used to finish in Maastricht, often in a small bunch sprint similar to MSR, until the organizers decided to move the finish to the top of the Cauberg outside the town of Valkenburg. A 1.5km stinger, a hill like this does not feel good when you’re off the front, trying to keep the lads breathing down your neck at bay.
Hard enough to exclude the sprinters, but not so hard the rouleurs don’t have a chance, this one is about as hard to call as they get – and I think a quick review of the scoring on the VSP thus far pretty clearly paints the picture that we collectively know fuckall about predicting races.
With that, we kick off the 2011 Velominati Super Prestige for the Amstel Gold Race. As usual, the winner of this VSP edition will earn an “Obey the Rules” bumper sticker and all reader’s points qualify towards the final prize of the free personalized Velominati Shop Apron. If you are inclined to enter, simply post your predictions for the top five placings in the designated area above the posts section, bearing in mind that entry/modification of picks closes at 5am Pacific time on the day of the race. Check the Super-Prestige main page for rules and scoring information.
A VSP Edition hardly seems complete without our requisite videos, and this time we have two. One of my nearly-namesake Frank Schleck (who’s about primed for another classics win, I would think), but the one below is actually my favorite Amstel finish; out on the original finish in Maastricht, Dekker was one of the coolest and schrewdestest riders of the last decade, and this one is a masterclass. After bridging up to Pharmstrong, he has the strength to contain Armstrongs attacks on the Cauberg and then sprints off the front to win.
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KAqIVanqbuw[/youtube]
Sadly this video cuts out the great attack by Pharmy which was contained by some generous helpings of Rule #5 being dished out by my boy Dekker. If anyone can find it, please point us to it.
Good luck.
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. F Schleck
3. Vino
4. Chavanel
5. Hesjedal
VSP PICKS:
1. Phee-leep
2. F. Grimpeur
3. Da Killa
4. Red Ryder
5. Chavanel
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Chavanel
3. Friere
4. Hesjedal
5. Leukemans
Number 13 winning in 2001, outsprinting Armstrong like Boogerd did 2 years earlier.
I really don’t know who to name. Gilbert will be there, Hoogerland will be there, Gesink will be there, the Schlecks will be there, Hesjedal will be there, Scarponi perhaps, Vino might be surprising, S. Sanchez perhaps. I don’t even know anymore.
I’m forgetting a couple, but I think the message is clear.
Spartacus has get ot get something sometine soon………..
VSP PICKS:
1. Cancellara
2. Boonen
3. Thomas
4. Gilbert
5. F Schlek
@toomanytreks
Spartacus is not a climber and his main focus for this race is helping the brothers Grimpeur.
Great write-up, Frank! I’m excited to watch the race. This time of year is maddening! So many great races I constantly feel anxious, excited, sidetracked. How can a guy get anything else done? The dust of P-R feels like it just settled yesterday or so. Now…another one!
As for picks, damnit, I think I just want the season to end already so I can have a top 10! Picking these is hard damn work. I need to ponder this for a bit.
VSP PICKS:
1. Chavanel
2. Gilbert
3. Hesjedal
4. Burghardt
5. Fairly
Though I’m routing for Gesink, I think Schleck and Cunego will lead a breakaway after which Schleck wins from Cunego à la Alpe d’Huez 2006. Rodriquez breaks away from le poursuivants.
Gilbert and Gesink get a wildcard, they will be there somewhere I guess.
VSP PICKS:
1. F. Schleck
2. Cunego
3. Rodriquez
4. Gilbert
5. Gesink
@3cross
Chavanel is still recovering from his fall at P-R, I doubt he’s strong enough to win.
VSP PICKS:
1. L.L. Cool S.
2. Cool Hand Leukemans
3. Elder Grimp
4. Vee-no
5. Cha(va)nel #5
Methinks Gilbert is about to become the Faboo of the Ardennes. I hope not, but I could see a bunch of people marking him out of the finale. Same goes for Vino. I bet Faboo lays down a maniacal pace to launch the Brothers Grimpeur away, after which Andy helps big bro out in a push up the Cauberg in the final selection
VSP PICKS:
1. The Other Frank
2. Ryder’s on the Storm
3. The Redneck (Horner)
4. Fee-leep Jeel-bare
5. Baby bro (Andy S.)
Nice C-40 !
VSP PICKS:
1. Geesink
2. Frank Shleck
3. Gilbert
4. Vinokourov
5. Freire
VSP PICKS:
1. I Wish I Had Ryder Sunglasses
2. What’s Eating Gilbert Grape
3. FrØnk’s name doppelgänger
4. Cunego (got nothin’)
5. Sylvain Chavanel (still nothin’)
No Race Picks, but an invitation to all to join in the Ronde PDX. It seems to match all ethics of the Velominati.
http://www.rhondepdx.com It happens to fall on Amstel Sunday this year.
Video from a few years ago. http://www.opb.org/programs/ofg/segments/view/1728
More frustrations for Cancellara. Time for a rest big guy….
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Cunego
3. Hesjedal
4. Kroon
5. Leukemans
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Hesjedal
3. Frank Schleck
4. Horner
5. Sagan
VSP PICKS:
1. Frank Shleck
2. Damion Cunego
3. Philipe Gilbert
4. Ryder Hesjedal
5. Alexander Vinokorouv
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Chavanel
3. Hesjedal
4. F. Schleck
5. Leukemans
Here we go!
Don’t know why there was an update failure on the Velominati webpage and I couldn’t put my picks for Paris-Roubaix…
VSP PICKS:
1. GIlbert
2. Sagan
3. Hesjedal
4. Vino
5. F.Schleck
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Gesnick
3. Cunego
4. Ryder
5. F. Schleck
Hello!
VSP PICKS:
1. Philippe Gilbert
2. Robert Gesink
3. Damiano Cunego
4. Sylvain Chavanel
5. Fränk Schleck
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Vino
3. Hesjedal
4. F Schleck
5. Cancellara
VSP PICKS:
1. F Schleck
2. Gilbert
3. Cunego
4. Cavendish
5. Vino
Should anyone find themselves in Portland, and need a worthy ride, there is the Rhonde PDX on Sunday. http://www.rondepdx.com It seems to fit the spirit of V.
VSP PICKS:
1. Paulinho
2. Chavanel
3. Gilbert
4. Hoogerland
5. Van Avermaet
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Andy Schleck
3. Hesjedal
4. Horner
5. Frank Schleck
My Picks are….
Have to give a mention to my non-cycling better half, bought me these as a snack for the race won by JVS, very damn apt I thought.
VSP PICKS:
1. Schleck the elder
2. Gilbert
3. Schleck the younger
4. Chavenel
5. Vinokorouv
I’m going with the dark horse trend in the classics so far this year.
So confusing….
VSP PICKS:
1. Matthew Lloyd, no, Frank Schleck
2. Riccardo Rico, wait…Gilbert
3. Joe Papp, crap…Andy Schleck
4. Lance Armstrong, awww, Gesink
5. Vinokourov…Vinokourov
VSP PICKS:
1. Andy Schleck
2. Ryder H
3. Gilbert
4. Cunego
5. Frank Schleck
So hard to pick this race. It will be much easier to pick the next two rces after we see who is in form this weekend!
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. A. Schleck
3. Chavanel
4. Veino
5. Leukmanns
@Lepidopterist
Man, that’s awesome. I have to give a shoutout to my non-cycling VMH as well (though, I guess that would make her just an H, since she doesn’t do the VM part). She thinks cycling is scary so she doesn’t partake herself, but will watch races with me, ask questions about stuff, and after almost two years together I haven’t heard a single peep of “those damn bikes…”. A guy couldn’t ask for more.
VSP PICKS:
1. I Wish I Had Ryder Sunglasses
2. What’s Eating Gilbert Grape
3. FrØnk’s name doppelgänger
4. Cunego (got nothin’)
5. Sylvain Chavanel (still nothin’)
VSP PICKS:
1. Ryder rydes away
2. Frank Schleck
3. Gilbert
4. Leukemans
5. Can he go?
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Gesink
3. P Velits
4. Vino
5. Poels
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
In for a penny, in for a pound.
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Hjesdal
3. F. Shleck
4. Cunego
5. Gesink
Still know nuthin’. Having a roughy in Gerro for my picks. That fella has gotta do something soon’ish.
Hope it’s as good a race as we’ve had these last few weeks!
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Veino
3. Cunego
4. Gesink
5. Gerrans
VSP PICKS:
1. Cancellera
2. Gilbert
3. Hesjedal
4. Gesink
5. Leukemans
So it’s come to this, I’m hoping a Canadian will win.
VSP PICKS:
1. Hesjedal
2. F. Schleck
3. Gilbert
4. Gesink
5. Cunego
VSP PICKS:
1. Flank Schrek
2. Joaquin Rodriguez
3. Bjorn Leukemans
4. Ryder Hesjedal
5. Vino
My brain is hurting trying figure this one out.
maybe…
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Schleck sr
3. Gesnik
4. Vino
5. LL cool J
VSP PICKS:
1. Gilbert
2. Vino
3. Scarponi
4. F. Schleck
5. Rodriguez
If you haven’t seen the video of JVS’ Velominata meeting him at the finish at Roubaix, you gotta. I just wish I understood Dutch.
http://www.sporza.be/cm/sporza/videozone/MG_sportnieuws/MG_wielrennen/1.762145
Or Flemish, or whatever the hell they’re speaking and when I’m watching races.
What’s Dutch for ‘crap shoot’?
VSP PICKS:
1. Philli Gilli
2. Whack ’em Rodriguez
3. Das Uberschlecker
4. Keep ’em Guessink
5. Canny Go