This is an exciting time of year. The Giro is in the books, the Tour is firmly in everyone’s sights, and those of us with the vaguest idea of how the big race will unfold are prognosticating the loudest as we use races that are proven to reveal fuck-all about what will happen at the Tour to predict what will happen at the Tour.
With the Dauphiné underway we look to the start of the Tour de Suisse to peer deeper into the murk to see who is riding well. As far as I’m concerned, I might as well lay out all the rider’s names in a random pattern and blow snot-rockets at the floor to make my picks this year because I honestly haven’t the foggiest idea who will take it; the biggest race of the year is spinning up to be the biggest enigma of the year.
All this babbling serves to demonstrate another important point, and the reason why the Dauphiné wasn’t in the VSP: these stage races are little more than preparation races for the big names, and a chance for the smaller one’s to take center stage. So why did the Tour de Suisse get a VSP while the Dauphiné didn’t? For starters, the latter feels less like a dress rehearsal for the Tour, but mostly its because there is a mountain pass that has cobbles all the way up it in Switzerland (though I’m not sure if they’re riding it this year). How cool is that? I can get on board with any country who values labor costs little enough to pave an entire mountain road one cobble at a time. Yes, we’re that scientific here in the Velominati Boardroom.
When this race is over, we’ll have even less of a clue as to who will win in July (well, everyone except @Marcus, who needs neither evidence nor results in order to be sure Cuddles will win) and we’ll be able to distract ourselves with the various National Championships which will take place in the week leading up the Tour’s start and guessing wether Bruyneel has the nerve to cut either or both Schlecks from his Tour team.
So, dust off your monkey’s bones and 12-sided die, time to make your predictions for the 2012 Tour de Suisse. Check the Tour de Suisse site for the latest route and roster info and remember that since this is a stage race, (not a Grand Tour), points on offer are 10 for first place, 8 for second, 7 for third, 5 for fourth, and 3 for fifth – all based on the final General Classification; plus two bonus points per rider in the top five regardless of the rider’s placing. Get your picks in by the time the countdown clock goes to zero, and pray for an intervention. Make sure you check the mappings of your picks before the race ends so you get the points you deserve, and use the dispute mechanism to alert us of any issues. Note that the dispute mechanism is the official means by which to raise concerns about your picks; questions about your mappings or disputes raised in the posts will be largely ignored.
Good luck.
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@snoov
As probably the biggest fan of Gimplette around, I think its easy for us to judge from our armchairs riders who go through more suffering even as the lowest-level pro than we can rightly imagine.
But judging is kind of like our specialty, so we're bound to stick to our comfort zones.
We probably misjudged him, but we misjudge any of these guys when we call them pussies. So long as the jabbing is all good humored and fun, which its been as far as I can tell, i wouldn't go over-thinking it too much.
Though I'm certainly not seeing Andy go to these lengths to stay in a race:
@frank
A minor"”and totally tangential"”point of order: it's probably not right to compare different generations, but even so, there are big differences between getting hurt during a grand tour and pulling up lame before it begins. One can sympathize with wanting to finish (especially in Magni's case, where this was to be his last Giro), particularly when one continues to stand well in the GC. Starting hurt borders on foolish, however.
Back to this race, it appears to me that we may have a race on our hands come Friday and Saturday when there are, you know, mountains. I'm pleased to say that 4 of my 5 picks are within striking distance. This only goes on to prove that Fuglsang, Danielson, Valverde, and Leipheimer will all fall prey to my curse of horrible picks.
Oh well.
So how many points do I have for my picks? Am I WINNING this thing right now?
The thing with A Schleck and the reason why even what must be a painful injury attracts not a lot of sympathy is also about how he got it, in my mind anyway.
Had he been hit by a car/dog/gazelle while training, fallen while making a glorious attack on a tricky descent or even been thrown down the stairs by Johan Bruyneel we might have felt more sympatico... but he did it because he made a stupid choice of wheel and couldn't stay on his bike during a TT, which he is crap at anyway.
He may not have deliberately shot himself in the foot but if you sleep with a loaded rifle and your finger on the trigger It's hard not to see it as self-inflicted.
@ChrisO nicely put, nail struck cleanly on the head
@minion
Don't try to spin it like you wanted points. You're lantern rouge attempt is blown.
You're even shit at being shit.
@frank
Not true! You can also tell the Dutch. They're the ones crying because they haven't won a jersey at a grand tour since the 80's
@frank
It's sad for the lad, hate to see anyone hurt on a bike, no matter whether I'm a fan of theirs or not.
I think all the ribbing he's getting (mostly in jest) is due to the lack of interest he seems to be showing at the moment and his general apathy about trying to win.
Hope he heals soon and comes back a renewed man, full of fight and burning passion to shut up all us armchair critics and win something, otherwise I fear he will remain a target for continued urine extraction.
Is Sagan riding the Tour? Seeing him go head-to-head with Cav will be fun if he is!